The Institution

How to check us without asking

This page answers who decides, on what authority, against what evidence, and whether the record agrees with itself — from the published record, not from a description of it. Where the record does not say something, it says that instead of estimating.

What this desk owes, right now

Publication is a settlement promise. This is the promise counted — and the same count blocks publication when it goes wrong, so showing it costs nothing and hiding it would be a choice.

Open
5
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome === null).length

a question is unsettled while `outcome` is null

Due today
0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome === null && q.evaluationAt?.slice(0, 10) === today).length

Overdue
0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome === null && q.evaluationAt != null && q.evaluationAt.slice(0, 10) < today).length

an overdue question is a broken promise in public, and blocks further publication

Settled
0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome !== null).length

Nothing is overdue. That is a fact about today, not a guarantee about tomorrow.

Has this desk kept its promises?

The ledger above is today. This is the harder question, because a desk can look clean today by having settled everything late. A published question carries the date the desk promised to read the source and settle; a settlement carries the date it happened. Whether the second beats the first is the whole of our punctuality, and you can compute it yourself from the same catalogue.

Settled, having promised a date
0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome !== null && q.evaluationAt != null && q.resolvedAt != null).length

the questions this record can judge us on: both the promise and the keeping of it are dated

Settled by the date promised
0 / 0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome !== null && q.evaluationAt != null && q.resolvedAt != null && q.resolvedAt <= q.evaluationAt).length

read against the line above. A shortfall is the desk having been late, and it stays on the page

Longest a settlement ran late (days)
0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then Math.max(0, ...questions.filter(q => q.outcome !== null && q.evaluationAt != null && q.resolvedAt != null && q.resolvedAt > q.evaluationAt).map(q => Math.floor((Date.parse(q.resolvedAt) - Date.parse(q.evaluationAt)) / 86400000)))

zero means nothing has ever run late, not that lateness is untracked

By volume, so a bad month is not averaged into a good year. Each body of work answers for itself.

Volume I
5 published · 0 settled · none yet judgeable on punctuality

Who decides, and on what authority

  • Every published question is published under a desk. Today that desk is AVUM Editorial, and its charter, its refusals, and its resolution practice are public.
  • An analyst may draft; a person publishes. No model resolves a question, finalizes a publication, or renders a verdict here. That rule is constitutional and survives every improvement in model capability, because it is about accountability rather than competence.
  • Criteria are fixed before anyone can act on them. Once a question opens, its wording and resolution rules are immutable except through a formal correction, and every correction is shown on the question with the reason it was made.
  • Questions about private individuals are refused. Public acts of legitimate public interest may be asked about; private lives, health, and families may not. This is not editorial discretion — it cannot be waived by an editor.

Does the record agree with itself?

Questions published
5
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.length

Sectors
5
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then new Set(questions.map(q => q.sector ?? 'General')).size

Open with a stated deadline
5 / 5
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome === null && q.closesAt != null).length

every open question should carry one; a shortfall is shown rather than filtered out

Settled to a recognised outcome
0 / 0
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome !== null && ['YES', 'NO', 'INVALID', 'CANCELLED'].includes(q.outcome)).length

the only settlements this institution can reach are YES, NO, INVALID and CANCELLED

Open with curated evidence
0 / 5
How to get this number yourself

GET /api/exchange/questions

then questions.filter(q => q.outcome === null && q.evidenceN > 0).length

Every one of these is a count over the published questions themselves, taken at read time. There is no separate statistics table that could drift from the record it describes — which is the only reason these numbers are worth anything, and why each one shows the filter that produced it rather than asking you to accept the count.

Contract amendments are recorded per question, with the stated reason, at the foot of each question page. This page does not summarize them, because a summary of a correction is how a correction gets lost.

The whole record, at an address

Every number on this page comes from one call, which needs no account, no key, and no permission from us. It is the same call this page makes.

GET /api/exchange/questions

GET /api/exchange/questions/{id}

The catalogue returns every published question with its resolution criteria, its dates, its volume and its outcome. Open the filter beside any figure above and run it against that response. If your answer differs from ours, ours is wrong — and we would rather you found that than believed us.

What it will not return: anything a member's desk did, and anything still waiting in the editorial queue. An unpublished question answers exactly as a question that never existed does, which is deliberate — a public record that let you enumerate what has not been published yet would be publishing it.

Every field, and what it means →

Five things you can check without us

  1. The promise came before the number. Open any question: the resolution criteria sit above the reference probability, and the contract version is at the foot.
  2. The number says whose it is. Every probability on this site is labeled — a reference is an editorial instrument of the publishing desk, never a market quote.
  3. The source is named. Each criterion names the public source it settles against. Go and read it; we would rather you checked than believed.
  4. The history is kept. The reference history on each question shows what the desk believed and when it changed.
  5. The misses are kept too. The Record leads with the questions this institution read wrong.

What this page does not show you

  • Anything a member's desk did. Forecasts, evidence, dissent, and the fact of having taken a question on are private to the workspace that produced them and never appear here. That is a structural separation, not a setting.
  • Anything about the regulated venue. AVUM STREET's exchange perimeter is separate by design, and this page examines the Commons only. Extending it would require a recorded architectural decision, not a feature.
  • An accuracy score. Deliberately. A single number is the one thing you could take away without checking anything.
  • Any claim about readiness. No customer funds are held and no regulated service is offered. Judgment recorded here is recorded against simulated value.

Read from the published record at 15 Sept 2026, 09:37.