Will federally regulated U.S. prediction-market exchanges be permitted to list contracts on professional sporting events before December 31, 2028?

Financial Regulation · Volume I · AVUM Editorial

Why It Matters

The answer could fundamentally alter the scope, size, and public perception of regulated prediction markets in the United States.

Resolution Criteria

Final orders, approvals, or regulations issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), or applicable federal court decisions determining the legality of such contracts.official publication

YES if, before the deadline, a federally regulated prediction-market exchange is legally authorized to offer contracts on professional sporting events under applicable federal law. NO otherwise. Mere proposals, applications, or pending litigation do not qualify.

Closes 31 Dec 2028, 05:59Evaluates 1 Jan 2029, 16:00

Reference

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Published by AVUM Editorial · Version 1.0 · Published August 2026

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